Prediction accuracy

Round 1 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 01.09.2017
Cardiff10 - 20EdinburghGeorge Clancy-1012
19:35
Friday 01.09.2017
Munster34 - 3BenettonIan Davies3114
19:35
Friday 01.09.2017
Ulster42 - 19CheetahsAndy Brace2323
14:30
Saturday 02.09.2017
Ospreys22 - 13ZebreQuinton Immelman915
15:15
Saturday 02.09.2017
Dragons16 - 39LeinsterMike Adamson-230
17:30
Saturday 02.09.2017
Scarlets57 - 10Southern KingsFrank Murphy4735
19:35
Saturday 02.09.2017
Connacht12 - 18GlasgowBen Whitehouse-66
Round 2 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 08.09.2017
Edinburgh35 - 18DragonsStuart Berry1712
19:35
Friday 08.09.2017
Leinster37 - 9CardiffAndy Brace2812
15:15
Saturday 09.09.2017
Glasgow31 - 10OspreysMarius Mitrea215
17:15
Saturday 09.09.2017
Munster51 - 18CheetahsBen Whitehouse3313
18:05
Saturday 09.09.2017
Benetton14 - 21UlsterDan Jones-7-2
19:35
Saturday 09.09.2017
Connacht32 - 10Southern KingsMike Adamson2222
20:35
Saturday 09.09.2017
Zebre10 - 41ScarletsDavid Wilkinson-31-2
Round 3 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:15
Friday 15.09.2017
Dragons21 - 8ConnachtQuinton Immelman138
19:35
Friday 15.09.2017
Ulster27 - 20ScarletsMarius Mitrea714
19:35
Friday 15.09.2017
Edinburgh17 - 20BenettonDavid Wilkinson-315
14:15
Saturday 16.09.2017
Southern Kings10 - 31LeinsterBen Whitehouse-21-14
14:30
Saturday 16.09.2017
Cheetahs54 - 39ZebreAndy Brace1514
15:15
Saturday 16.09.2017
Ospreys16 - 21MunsterStuart Berry-52
19:35
Saturday 16.09.2017
Cardiff19 - 20GlasgowFrank Murphy-19
Round 4 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 22.09.2017
Glasgow37 - 10MunsterNigel Owens273
19:35
Friday 22.09.2017
Ulster52 - 25DragonsDan Jones2718
20:00
Friday 22.09.2017
Cheetahs38 - 19LeinsterMike Adamson191
20:35
Friday 22.09.2017
Benetton16 - 6OspreysGeorge Clancy101
15:15
Saturday 23.09.2017
Connacht15 - 17CardiffMarius Mitrea-212
19:35
Saturday 23.09.2017
Scarlets28 - 8EdinburghJohn Lacey2020
19:35
Saturday 23.09.2017
Southern Kings17 - 43ZebreSean Gallagher-26-10
Round 5 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
17:00
Friday 29.09.2017
Cheetahs44 - 25OspreysFrank Murphy195
19:35
Friday 29.09.2017
Glasgow37 - 21BenettonDan Jones1612
19:35
Friday 29.09.2017
Leinster21 - 13EdinburghIan Davies813
19:35
Friday 29.09.2017
Scarlets36 - 27ConnachtNigel Owens920
13:30
Saturday 30.09.2017
Munster39 - 16CardiffQuinton Immelman237
15:35
Saturday 30.09.2017
Zebre27 - 23UlsterMike Adamson4-9
19:35
Saturday 30.09.2017
Dragons29 - 13Southern KingsAndy Brace1621
Round 6 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 06.10.2017
Edinburgh16 - 15ZebreMarius Mitrea114
19:35
Friday 06.10.2017
Cardiff43 - 29DragonsNigel Owens1415
19:35
Friday 06.10.2017
Ulster16 - 8ConnachtAndy Brace820
20:35
Friday 06.10.2017
Cheetahs26 - 29GlasgowGeorge Clancy-33
14:00
Saturday 07.10.2017
Leinster23 - 17MunsterBen Whitehouse67
19:35
Saturday 07.10.2017
Ospreys18 - 19ScarletsJohn Lacey-13
20:00
Saturday 07.10.2017
Benetton31 - 3Southern KingsSean Gallagher2810
Round 7 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 27.10.2017
Connacht20 - 16MunsterNigel Owens410
19:35
Friday 27.10.2017
Ospreys28 - 14DragonsIan Davies148
19:35
Friday 27.10.2017
Glasgow43 - 13Southern KingsMike Adamson3017
15:00
Saturday 28.10.2017
Benetton13 - 24EdinburghBen Whitehouse-117
18:15
Saturday 28.10.2017
Ulster10 - 25LeinsterJohn Lacey-1514
19:35
Saturday 28.10.2017
Scarlets30 - 17CardiffStuart Berry1314
20:00
Saturday 28.10.2017
Zebre23 - 24CheetahsDan Jones-14
Round 8 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 03.11.2017
Scarlets20 - 8BenettonGeorge Clancy1226
19:35
Friday 03.11.2017
Glasgow31 - 21LeinsterStuart Berry102
19:45
Friday 03.11.2017
Munster49 - 6DragonsMike Adamson4316
17:00
Saturday 04.11.2017
Southern Kings36 - 43UlsterQuinton Immelman-7-12
17:30
Saturday 04.11.2017
Edinburgh37 - 10OspreysAndy Brace276
19:35
Saturday 04.11.2017
Connacht23 - 15CheetahsFrank Murphy818
19:35
Saturday 04.11.2017
Cardiff37 - 8ZebreSean Gallagher2917
Round 9 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
17:30
Friday 24.11.2017
Cheetahs33 - 13EdinburghQuinton Immelman209
19:05
Friday 24.11.2017
Ulster23 - 22BenettonMike Adamson124
19:35
Friday 24.11.2017
Leinster54 - 10DragonsSam Grove-White4414
19:35
Friday 24.11.2017
Cardiff36 - 30ConnachtCraig Evans68
13:00
Sunday 26.11.2017
Ospreys6 - 47GlasgowIan Davies-413
14:00
Sunday 26.11.2017
Zebre19 - 36MunsterLloyd Linton-17-8
15:00
Sunday 26.11.2017
Southern Kings30 - 34ScarletsStuart Berry-4-11
Round 10 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:15
Friday 01.12.2017
Southern Kings21 - 48EdinburghStuart Berry-27-9
19:35
Friday 01.12.2017
Dragons32 - 32UlsterMarius Mitrea04
19:35
Friday 01.12.2017
Glasgow40 - 16CardiffNigel Owens249
14:15
Saturday 02.12.2017
Zebre24 - 10ConnachtGeorge Clancy14-5
16:30
Saturday 02.12.2017
Benetton10 - 36LeinsterDavid Wilkinson-26-9
17:30
Saturday 02.12.2017
Munster36 - 10OspreysBen Whitehouse2613
19:35
Saturday 02.12.2017
Cheetahs28 - 21ScarletsQuinton Immelman75
Round 11 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
15:00
Saturday 23.12.2017
Benetton27 - 14ZebreMarius Mitrea137
17:10
Saturday 23.12.2017
Edinburgh18 - 17GlasgowFrank Murphy15
19:35
Saturday 23.12.2017
Connacht44 - 16UlsterMike Adamson289
14:00
Tuesday 26.12.2017
Dragons17 - 22CardiffAndy Brace-59
15:15
Tuesday 26.12.2017
Munster24 - 34LeinsterNigel Owens-103
17:35
Tuesday 26.12.2017
Scarlets12 - 9OspreysIan Davies30
Round 12 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
15:00
Saturday 30.12.2017
Zebre16 - 20BenettonDavid Wilkinson-40
15:15
Saturday 30.12.2017
Glasgow17 - 0EdinburghMike Adamson175
15:15
Sunday 31.12.2017
Cardiff11 - 14ScarletsGeorge Clancy-34
17:35
Sunday 31.12.2017
Dragons9 - 22OspreysDan Jones-131
15:15
Monday 01.01.2018
Leinster21 - 18ConnachtBen Whitehouse312
17:35
Monday 01.01.2018
Ulster24 - 17MunsterSean Gallagher78
Round 13 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 05.01.2018
Edinburgh37 - 7Southern KingsLloyd Linton3015
19:35
Friday 05.01.2018
Scarlets47 - 13DragonsMarius Mitrea3419
14:15
Saturday 06.01.2018
Benetton27 - 21CheetahsFrank Murphy69
15:15
Saturday 06.01.2018
Ospreys29 - 28CardiffNigel Owens17
16:30
Saturday 06.01.2018
Zebre20 - 40GlasgowAndy Brace-20-5
17:35
Saturday 06.01.2018
Leinster38 - 7UlsterGeorge Clancy319
19:45
Saturday 06.01.2018
Munster39 - 13ConnachtDavid Wilkinson2612
Round 11 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
17:00
Saturday 13.01.2018
Southern Kings21 - 45CheetahsStuart Berry-24-7
Round 12 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
17:00
Saturday 20.01.2018
Cheetahs45 - 24Southern KingsQuinton Immelman2117
Round 14 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 09.02.2018
Connacht26 - 15OspreysStuart Berry116
19:35
Friday 09.02.2018
Ulster59 - 10Southern KingsJoy Neville4928
19:35
Friday 09.02.2018
Dragons15 - 15GlasgowAndy Brace02
19:35
Friday 09.02.2018
Edinburgh29 - 24LeinsterPaul Williams51
19:35
Saturday 10.02.2018
Cardiff25 - 20CheetahsIan Davies512
19:35
Saturday 10.02.2018
Munster33 - 5ZebreBen Whitehouse2826
14:05
Sunday 11.02.2018
Benetton22 - 12ScarletsGeorge Clancy10-5
Round 15 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 16.02.2018
Glasgow37 - 23CheetahsGeorge Clancy149
19:35
Friday 16.02.2018
Ospreys26 - 12Southern KingsDavid Wilkinson1413
19:35
Friday 16.02.2018
Ulster16 - 17EdinburghNigel Owens-117
19:35
Friday 16.02.2018
Connacht11 - 19ZebreMike Adamson-827
15:15
Saturday 17.02.2018
Leinster20 - 13ScarletsJohn Lacey79
17:30
Saturday 17.02.2018
Cardiff25 - 18MunsterStuart Berry75
15:30
Sunday 18.02.2018
Dragons15 - 18BenettonQuinton Immelman-314
Round 16 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:00
Friday 23.02.2018
Munster21 - 10GlasgowMarius Mitrea119
19:30
Friday 23.02.2018
Dragons12 - 25EdinburghGeorge Clancy-138
19:35
Friday 23.02.2018
Leinster64 - 7Southern KingsDan Jones5717
13:00
Saturday 24.02.2018
Benetton19 - 22ConnachtLloyd Linton-31
17:30
Saturday 24.02.2018
Ospreys27 - 26CheetahsBen Whitehouse17
19:35
Saturday 24.02.2018
Scarlets34 - 10UlsterIan Davies2415
14:00
Sunday 25.02.2018
Zebre7 - 10CardiffFrank Murphy-35
Round 17 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
17:35
Friday 02.03.2018
Southern Kings45 - 13DragonsQuinton Immelman32-8
17:35
Saturday 03.03.2018
Cheetahs26 - 25ConnachtStuart Berry18
19:35
Friday 09.03.2018
Scarlets10 - 10LeinsterNigel Owens016
19:35
Friday 16.03.2018
Edinburgh12 - 6MunsterBen Whitehouse63
19:35
Friday 16.03.2018
Cardiff31 - 25BenettonJohn Lacey624
Round 18 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 23.03.2018
Glasgow68 - 7ZebreCraig Evans6130
19:35
Friday 23.03.2018
Dragons17 - 29CheetahsNigel Owens-1212
19:35
Friday 23.03.2018
Connacht22 - 29EdinburghGeorge Clancy-714
15:00
Saturday 24.03.2018
Southern Kings35 - 36BenettonQuinton Immelman-1-8
15:15
Saturday 24.03.2018
Cardiff35 - 17UlsterMike Adamson186
17:30
Saturday 24.03.2018
Munster19 - 7ScarletsMarius Mitrea120
19:35
Saturday 24.03.2018
Ospreys32 - 18LeinsterJohn Lacey14-2
Round 19 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 06.04.2018
Ospreys39 - 10ConnachtBen Whitehouse298
19:35
Friday 06.04.2018
Edinburgh20 - 32UlsterNigel Owens-127
14:00
Saturday 07.04.2018
Leinster41 - 6ZebreIan Davies3528
16:15
Saturday 07.04.2018
Scarlets26 - 8GlasgowGeorge Clancy1810
18:00
Saturday 07.04.2018
Benetton29 - 27DragonsAndy Brace29
18:15
Saturday 07.04.2018
Cheetahs29 - 27CardiffMike Adamson25
19:35
Saturday 07.04.2018
Southern Kings22 - 39MunsterLloyd Linton-17-16
Round 20 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 13.04.2018
Ulster8 - 0OspreysAndy Brace816
19:35
Friday 13.04.2018
Cheetahs17 - 19MunsterMike Adamson-23
19:35
Friday 13.04.2018
Glasgow35 - 22ConnachtFrank Murphy1310
15:15
Saturday 14.04.2018
Edinburgh52 - 14ScarletsStuart Berry386
17:00
Saturday 14.04.2018
Zebre34 - 32DragonsGeorge Clancy28
19:35
Saturday 14.04.2018
Southern Kings12 - 45CardiffSean Gallagher-33-14
19:35
Saturday 14.04.2018
Leinster15 - 17BenettonBen Whitehouse-216
Round 17 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
18:05
Saturday 21.04.2018
Ulster36 - 15GlasgowStuart Berry2115
17:45
Sunday 22.04.2018
Zebre37 - 14OspreysLloyd Linton23-10
Round 21 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
14:00
Saturday 28.04.2018
Southern Kings20 - 29CheetahsCwengile Jadezweni-9-8
15:05
Saturday 28.04.2018
Connacht47 - 10LeinsterAndy Brace377
15:05
Saturday 28.04.2018
Dragons8 - 33ScarletsLloyd Linton-255
17:00
Saturday 28.04.2018
Benetton17 - 22ZebreTom Foley-511
17:35
Saturday 28.04.2018
Cardiff23 - 26OspreysFrank Murphy-39
17:35
Saturday 28.04.2018
Munster24 - 24UlsterBen Whitehouse08
19:35
Saturday 28.04.2018
Edinburgh24 - 19GlasgowNigel Owens51
Play OffsActual Margin Predicted Margin
15:15
Saturday 05.05.2018
Munster20 - 16EdinburghNigel Owens412
18:35
Saturday 05.05.2018
Scarlets43 - 8CheetahsGeorge Clancy3524
Semi-FinalActual Margin Predicted Margin
15:15
Friday 18.05.2018
Leinster16 - 15MunsterStuart Berry17
19:45
Friday 18.05.2018
Glasgow13 - 28ScarletsJohn Lacey-159
FinalActual Margin Predicted Margin
18:00
Saturday 26.05.2018
Leinster40 - 32ScarletsStuart Berry810

Game count: 152

Outcome accurately predicted: 107

Outcome incorrectly predicted: 45

Average error: 12.1 points

Success rate: 70.39%

Number of occasions points difference accurately predicted: 3

The average error is calculated using the absolute errors (i.e., if an error is negative, it is converted to a positive value). This way the average error will also be a positive value. Many thanks to @rugbyvision.
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