Prediction accuracy

Round 1 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 01.09.2017
Cardiff10 - 20EdinburghGeorge Clancy-1012
19:35
Friday 01.09.2017
Munster34 - 3TrevisoIan Davies3114
19:35
Friday 01.09.2017
Ulster42 - 19CheetahsAndy Brace2323
14:30
Saturday 02.09.2017
Ospreys22 - 13ZebreQuinton Immelman915
15:15
Saturday 02.09.2017
Dragons16 - 39LeinsterMike Adamson-230
17:30
Saturday 02.09.2017
Scarlets57 - 10KingsFrank Murphy4735
19:35
Saturday 02.09.2017
Connacht12 - 18GlasgowBen Whitehouse-66
Round 2 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 08.09.2017
Edinburgh35 - 18DragonsStuart Berry1712
19:35
Friday 08.09.2017
Leinster37 - 9CardiffAndy Brace2812
15:15
Saturday 09.09.2017
Glasgow31 - 10OspreysMarius Mitrea215
17:15
Saturday 09.09.2017
Munster51 - 18CheetahsBen Whitehouse3313
18:05
Saturday 09.09.2017
Treviso14 - 21UlsterDan Jones-7-2
19:35
Saturday 09.09.2017
Connacht32 - 10KingsMike Adamson2222
20:35
Saturday 09.09.2017
Zebre10 - 41ScarletsDavid Wilkinson-31-2
Round 3 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:15
Friday 15.09.2017
Dragons21 - 8ConnachtQuinton Immelman138
19:35
Friday 15.09.2017
Edinburgh17 - 20TrevisoDavid Wilkinson-315
19:35
Friday 15.09.2017
Ulster27 - 20ScarletsMarius Mitrea714
14:15
Saturday 16.09.2017
Kings10 - 31LeinsterBen Whitehouse-21-14
14:30
Saturday 16.09.2017
Cheetahs54 - 39ZebreAndy Brace1514
15:15
Saturday 16.09.2017
Ospreys16 - 21MunsterStuart Berry-52
19:35
Saturday 16.09.2017
Cardiff19 - 20GlasgowFrank Murphy-19
Round 4 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 22.09.2017
Glasgow37 - 10MunsterNigel Owens273
19:35
Friday 22.09.2017
Ulster52 - 25DragonsDan Jones2718
20:00
Friday 22.09.2017
Cheetahs38 - 19LeinsterMike Adamson191
20:35
Friday 22.09.2017
Treviso16 - 6OspreysGeorge Clancy101
15:15
Saturday 23.09.2017
Connacht15 - 17CardiffMarius Mitrea-212
19:35
Saturday 23.09.2017
Scarlets28 - 8EdinburghJohn Lacey2020
19:35
Saturday 23.09.2017
Kings17 - 43ZebreSean Gallagher-26-10
Round 5 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
17:00
Friday 29.09.2017
Cheetahs44 - 25OspreysFrank Murphy195
19:35
Friday 29.09.2017
Scarlets36 - 27ConnachtNigel Owens920
19:35
Friday 29.09.2017
Leinster21 - 13EdinburghIan Davies813
19:35
Friday 29.09.2017
Glasgow37 - 21TrevisoDan Jones1612
13:30
Saturday 30.09.2017
Munster39 - 16CardiffQuinton Immelman237
15:35
Saturday 30.09.2017
Zebre27 - 23UlsterMike Adamson4-9
19:35
Saturday 30.09.2017
Dragons29 - 13KingsAndy Brace1621
Round 6 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 06.10.2017
Edinburgh16 - 15ZebreMarius Mitrea114
19:35
Friday 06.10.2017
Ulster16 - 8ConnachtAndy Brace820
19:35
Friday 06.10.2017
Cardiff43 - 29DragonsNigel Owens1415
20:35
Friday 06.10.2017
Cheetahs26 - 29GlasgowGeorge Clancy-33
14:00
Saturday 07.10.2017
Leinster23 - 17MunsterBen Whitehouse67
19:35
Saturday 07.10.2017
Ospreys18 - 19ScarletsJohn Lacey-13
20:00
Saturday 07.10.2017
Treviso31 - 3KingsSean Gallagher2810
Round 7 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 27.10.2017
Connacht20 - 16MunsterNigel Owens410
19:35
Friday 27.10.2017
Glasgow43 - 13KingsMike Adamson3017
19:35
Friday 27.10.2017
Ospreys23 - 15DragonsIan Davies814
15:00
Saturday 28.10.2017
Treviso13 - 24EdinburghBen Whitehouse-117
18:15
Saturday 28.10.2017
Ulster10 - 25LeinsterJohn Lacey-1514
19:35
Saturday 28.10.2017
Scarlets30 - 17CardiffStuart Berry1314
20:00
Saturday 28.10.2017
Zebre23 - 24CheetahsDan Jones-14
Round 8 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 03.11.2017
Glasgow31 - 21LeinsterStuart Berry102
19:35
Friday 03.11.2017
Scarlets20 - 8TrevisoGeorge Clancy1226
19:45
Friday 03.11.2017
Munster49 - 6DragonsMike Adamson4316
17:00
Saturday 04.11.2017
Kings36 - 43UlsterQuinton Immelman-7-12
17:30
Saturday 04.11.2017
Edinburgh37 - 10OspreysAndy Brace276
19:35
Saturday 04.11.2017
Cardiff37 - 8ZebreSean Gallagher2917
19:35
Saturday 04.11.2017
Connacht23 - 15CheetahsFrank Murphy818
Round 9 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
17:30
Friday 24.11.2017
Cheetahs33 - 13EdinburghQuinton Immelman209
19:05
Friday 24.11.2017
Ulster23 - 22TrevisoMike Adamson124
19:35
Friday 24.11.2017
Cardiff36 - 30ConnachtCraig Evans68
19:35
Friday 24.11.2017
Leinster54 - 10DragonsSam Grove-White4414
13:00
Sunday 26.11.2017
Ospreys6 - 47GlasgowIan Davies-413
14:00
Sunday 26.11.2017
Zebre19 - 36MunsterLloyd Linton-17-8
15:00
Sunday 26.11.2017
Kings30 - 34ScarletsStuart Berry-4-11
Round 10 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:15
Friday 01.12.2017
Kings21 - 48EdinburghStuart Berry-27-9
19:35
Friday 01.12.2017
Glasgow40 - 16CardiffNigel Owens249
19:35
Friday 01.12.2017
Dragons32 - 32UlsterMarius Mitrea04
14:15
Saturday 02.12.2017
Zebre24 - 10ConnachtGeorge Clancy14-5
16:30
Saturday 02.12.2017
Treviso10 - 36LeinsterDavid Wilkinson-26-9
17:30
Saturday 02.12.2017
Munster36 - 10OspreysBen Whitehouse2613
19:35
Saturday 02.12.2017
Cheetahs28 - 21ScarletsQuinton Immelman75
Round 11 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
15:00
Saturday 23.12.2017
Treviso27 - 14ZebreMarius Mitrea137
17:10
Saturday 23.12.2017
Edinburgh18 - 17GlasgowFrank Murphy15
19:35
Saturday 23.12.2017
Connacht44 - 16UlsterMike Adamson289
14:00
Tuesday 26.12.2017
Dragons17 - 22CardiffAndy Brace-59
15:15
Tuesday 26.12.2017
Munster24 - 34LeinsterNigel Owens-103
17:35
Tuesday 26.12.2017
Scarlets12 - 9OspreysIan Davies30
Round 12 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
15:00
Saturday 30.12.2017
Zebre16 - 20TrevisoDavid Wilkinson-40
15:15
Saturday 30.12.2017
Glasgow17 - 0EdinburghMike Adamson175
15:15
Sunday 31.12.2017
Cardiff11 - 14ScarletsGeorge Clancy-34
17:35
Sunday 31.12.2017
Dragons9 - 22OspreysDan Jones-131
15:15
Monday 01.01.2018
Leinster21 - 18ConnachtBen Whitehouse312
17:35
Monday 01.01.2018
Ulster24 - 17MunsterSean Gallagher78
Round 13 ResultsActual Margin Predicted Margin
19:35
Friday 05.01.2018
Scarlets47 - 13DragonsMarius Mitrea3419
19:35
Friday 05.01.2018
Edinburgh37 - 7KingsLloyd Linton3015
14:15
Saturday 06.01.2018
Treviso27 - 21CheetahsFrank Murphy69
15:15
Saturday 06.01.2018
Ospreys29 - 28CardiffNigel Owens17
16:30
Saturday 06.01.2018
Zebre20 - 40GlasgowAndy Brace-20-5
17:35
Saturday 06.01.2018
Leinster38 - 7UlsterGeorge Clancy319
19:45
Saturday 06.01.2018
Munster39 - 13ConnachtDavid Wilkinson2612

Game count: 89

Outcome accurately predicted: 67

Outcome incorrectly predicted: 22

Average error: 11.6 points

Success rate: 75.28%

Number of occasions points difference accurately predicted: 3

The average error is calculated using the absolute errors (i.e., if an error is negative, it is converted to a positive value). This way the average error will also be a positive value. Many thanks to @rugbyvision.
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